Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 67.3% | 18.76% | 13.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% | 39.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.01% | 61.99% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.14% | 10.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.04% | 34.96% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.42% | 40.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 7.25% 4-0 @ 4.46% 4-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 4.23% Total : 67.3% | 1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.42% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-1 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.67% Total : 13.94% |