Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
| 49.2% | 23.72% | 27.08% |
| Both teams to score 57.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% | 65.99% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% | 17.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% | 48.6% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% | 29.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% | 65.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.08% |