Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 30.69% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline was Roma 1-1 Lecce with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (9.86%), 2-1 (9.07%), 0-1 (7.96%). The actual score line of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6%.