Roma logo
Coppa Italia | Final
Jan 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Roma
3 - 1
Lecce

Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawLecce
43.96%25.35%30.69%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34%48.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23%70.77%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9%22.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53%55.46%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45%29.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43%65.56%
Score Analysis
    Roma 43.96%
    Lecce 30.69%
    Draw 25.34%
RomaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: Roma vs Lecce

Roma
86.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lecce
4.7%
150
rhs 2.0


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