Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Venezia

Shomurodov (76')
Spinazzola (39'), Pellegrini (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Okereke (1')
Kiyine (18'), Vacca (26'), Okereke (61'), Ampadu (78'), Peretz (87')
Kiyine (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Venezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 80.44%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.1%) and 1-0 (10.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Venezia
80.44% ( -0.23)	13.35% ( 0.1)	6.21% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 40.98% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.51% (

0.1)

38.49% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

0.11)

60.78% (

-0.12)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.5% (

-0.04)

7.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.09% (

-0.08)

26.91% (

0.07)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.3% (

0.47)

55.7% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.7% (

0.27)

88.29% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Roma 80.43%

Venezia 6.21%

Draw 13.35%

Roma	Draw	Venezia
2-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.17% Total : 80.43%	1-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.44% Total : 13.35%	0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 6.21%