| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Bologna |
| 32.65% ( | 25.35% ( | 42% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.04% ( | 47.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% ( | 70.13% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( | 63.53% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( | 22.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( | 56.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 42% |