Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.