| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 7.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.04%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Venezia |
| 76.46% | 15.66% | 7.88% |
| Both teams to score 41.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% | 42.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% | 65.27% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% | 9.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.31% | 31.69% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.91% | 54.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.67% | 87.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Venezia |
| 2-0 @ 14.22% 1-0 @ 12.04% 3-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 6.61% 4-1 @ 4.06% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.08% Total : 76.45% | 1-1 @ 7.4% 0-0 @ 5.1% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.66% | 0-1 @ 3.13% 1-2 @ 2.27% 0-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.51% Total : 7.88% |