| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Venezia |
| 73.27% | 16.73% | 10% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% | 40.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.95% | 63.05% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.36% | 9.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.8% | 32.2% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.11% | 47.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.85% | 83.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Venezia |
| 2-0 @ 12.63% 1-0 @ 10.8% 3-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 7.25% 4-0 @ 5.76% 4-1 @ 4.24% 5-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.47% Total : 73.27% | 1-1 @ 7.95% 0-0 @ 4.62% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.73% Total : 16.73% | 0-1 @ 3.4% 1-2 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.42% Total : 10% |