Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
Porto

(Porto win 4-3 on aggregate)

Immobile (19'), Cataldi (90+5')
Radu (4'), Cataldi (76'), Patric (76'), Alberto (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taremi (31' pen.), Uribe (68')
Sanusi (45+2'), Otavio (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Porto
30.12%	25.67%	44.21%

Both teams to score 53.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74%

50.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79%

72.21%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25%

30.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.98%

67.02%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34%

22.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69%

56.31%

Score Analysis

Lazio 30.12%

Porto 44.21%

Draw 25.67%

Lazio	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 8.22% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.12%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.21%