Potential new EL header

Europa League

Porto
Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Lazio logo

Porto
2 - 1
Lazio

Martinez (37', 49')
Grujic (4'), Vieira (45+1'), Galeno (72'), Evanilson (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zaccagni (23')
Milinkovic-Savic (39'), Zaccagni (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.26%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 20.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawLazio
59.26%20.23%20.51%
Both teams to score 62.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.74%56.26%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09%65.91%
Score Analysis
    Porto 59.26%
    Lazio 20.51%
    Draw 20.23%
PortoDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 4.25%
4-1 @ 3.81%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.65%
5-0 @ 1.37%
5-2 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.23%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-1 @ 4.12%
0-2 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Porto vs Lazio

Porto
74.9%
Draw
14.9%
Lazio
10.2%
255