| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
| 19 | Genoa | 37 | -32 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 37 | -35 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 37 | 1 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | -1 | 44 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Venezia win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 29.81% | 22.48% | 47.71% |
| Both teams to score 64.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.17% | 35.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.09% | 57.91% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% | 23.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% | 57.85% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% | 15.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% | 44.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 5.28% 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.81% | 1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 5.72% 2-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.71% |