Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 41.44% | 23.63% | 34.93% |
| Both teams to score 62.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% | 39.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% | 61.71% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% | 19.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.88% | 51.12% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% | 22.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% | 56.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.31% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.93% |