Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.49%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 41.12% | 22.28% | 36.6% |
| Both teams to score 68.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.75% | 32.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.14% | 53.85% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% | 16.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.73% | 46.27% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.38% | 49.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.56% Total : 41.12% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 7.06% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.6% |