Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
| 62.38% | 20.98% | 16.64% |
| Both teams to score 51.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% | 66.61% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% | 13.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% | 40.73% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% | 39.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.51% | 76.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 6.6% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.38% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.98% | 0-1 @ 4.99% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.97% Total : 16.64% |