Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 34.06% | 23.22% | 42.72% |
| Both teams to score 63.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% | 37.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.18% | 59.82% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% | 22.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.48% | 55.52% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% | 18.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.03% | 48.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.43% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 6.66% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.81% Total : 42.72% |