Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 44.2% | 24.68% | 31.13% |
| Both teams to score 57.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% | 45.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% | 20.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% | 27.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% | 63.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.13% |