Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.45%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.