Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
| 48.17% | 23.98% | 27.85% |
| Both teams to score 57.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% | 44.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% | 18.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.31% | 49.7% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% | 29.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% | 65.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.85% |