Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 14.87% | 19.97% | 65.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% | 43.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% | 65.54% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% | 41.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.03% | 77.97% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.54% | 12.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 4.55% 2-1 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.87% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.97% | 0-2 @ 11.2% 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 6.85% 0-4 @ 4.05% 1-4 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-5 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.57% 1-5 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.32% Total : 65.14% |