Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 55.81% | 22.4% | 21.79% |
| Both teams to score 56.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% | 42.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% | 65.26% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% | 15.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% | 43.86% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.67% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.81% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.79% |