Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
20.26% | 22.46% | 57.27% |
Both teams to score 53.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.92% | 45.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% | 67.43% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.74% | 36.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.96% | 73.04% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% | 15.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% | 44.39% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.7% 2-1 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.77% 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-3 @ 6.07% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |