Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
| 20.26% | 22.46% | 57.27% |
| Both teams to score 53.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% | 45.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% | 67.43% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% | 36.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% | 73.04% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% | 15.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.61% | 44.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 5.7% 2-1 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.77% 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-3 @ 6.07% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.87% 0-4 @ 2.83% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.26% |