Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

May 5, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 1
Venezia

Bonazzoli (7' pen.), Verdi (67')
Ederson (54'), Bohinen (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henry (58')
Ceccaroni (5'), Mateju (52'), Svoboda (61'), Busio (69'), Ampadu (89'), Henry (90+3')
Ampadu (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30

Venezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Venezia
47.91%	26.29%	25.8%

Both teams to score 48.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.87%

55.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63%

76.38%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97%

23.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16%

56.85%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31%

36.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52%

73.48%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 47.9%

Venezia 25.8%

Draw 26.29%

Salernitana	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.9%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.8%