| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 46.11% | 26.06% | 27.83% |
| Both teams to score 50.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% | 52.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% | 22.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% | 56.72% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% | 33.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% | 70.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.83% |