Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 8.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 75.07% | 16.13% | 8.79% |
| Both teams to score 44.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.16% | 41.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.75% | 64.24% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% | 9.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.12% | 31.88% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.75% | 51.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.49% | 85.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 13.48% 1-0 @ 11.46% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 6.23% 4-1 @ 4.16% 5-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.39% 6-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.06% | 1-1 @ 7.67% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 3.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.13% | 0-1 @ 3.26% 1-2 @ 2.56% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.88% Total : 8.79% |