Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
| 39.17% | 23.87% | 36.96% |
| Both teams to score 61.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% | 40.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% | 62.6% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% | 53.37% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% | 21.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% | 55.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.17% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.96% |