We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Empoli
Even amid some failing form, Empoli are a tough nut to crack away from home, and were within minutes of ending their winless run last weekend.
So with neither team particularly potent of late - Samp's freak victory over Sassuolo aside - this clash is all set for a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
