Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
| 43.98% | 24.9% | 31.13% |
| Both teams to score 56.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% | 46.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% | 68.79% |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% | 21.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% | 54.07% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% | 28.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% | 63.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.13% |