| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
| 77.66% | 14.21% | 8.13% |
| Both teams to score 48.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.32% | 34.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.76% | 7.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.75% | 26.25% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.19% | 47.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.91% | 83.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 11.93% 3-0 @ 10.44% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 7.71% 4-0 @ 6.86% 4-1 @ 5.06% 5-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.85% 5-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.58% 6-1 @ 1.16% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.06% Total : 77.65% | 1-1 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.46% 2-2 @ 3.25% Other @ 0.79% Total : 14.21% | 0-1 @ 2.55% 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.16% Total : 8.13% |