Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.