Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 14, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
0 - 2
RB Leipzig

(RB Leipzig win 3-1 on aggregate)

Zapata (58'), Freuler (59'), Demiral (60'), Koopmeiners (75'), Hateboer (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nkunku (18', 87' pen.)
Henrichs (49'), Orban (62'), Simakan (90+5'), Klostermann (90+5'), Kampl (90+6')

Reaction

RB Leipzig's Christopher Nkunku pictured on November 24, 2021

Manchester United 'scout Christopher Nkunku in RB Leipzig's Europa League clash'

Manchester United had a scout in attendance to watch Christopher Nkunku score twice in RB Leipzig's 2-0 victory over Atalanta BC, according to a report.

Apr 16, 08:35

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	RB Leipzig
34.98%	24.73%	40.29%

Both teams to score 58.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.38%

44.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01%

66.99%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09%

24.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47%

59.53%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88%

22.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51%

55.49%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 34.98%

RB Leipzig 40.29%

Draw 24.73%

Atalanta BC	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.98%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.29%