Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg

Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Demirovic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
67.32%	19.05%	13.63%

Both teams to score 51.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29%

41.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89%

64.11%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.56%

11.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.76%

36.24%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.65%

42.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.27%

78.73%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 67.31%

Freiburg 13.63%

Draw 19.05%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.07% 4-0 @ 4.46% 4-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.77% Total : 67.31%	1-1 @ 9.03% 0-0 @ 4.84% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.05%	0-1 @ 4.16% 1-2 @ 3.88% 0-2 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.63%