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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg

Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Demirovic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

This could well be a tight affair on Saturday, with Freiburg sure to remain well organised in their quest to frustrate their hosts for long periods of the game. There is likely to be little between the two sides, but we are predicting for Leipzig to narrowly edge out the visitors thanks to home advantage, as well as the form of Nkunku in particular. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
67.32%19.05%13.63%
Both teams to score 51.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89%64.11%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.76%36.24%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65%42.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.27%78.73%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.31%
    Freiburg 13.63%
    Draw 19.05%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 11.38%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.07%
4-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 67.31%
1-1 @ 9.03%
0-0 @ 4.84%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.16%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
82.1%
Draw
16.4%
Freiburg
1.5%
67
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Freiburg
Konate (26'), Sabitzer (70' pen.), Angelino (89')
Orban (28'), Henrichs (62')

Lienhart (25'), Gulde (44'), Tempelmann (90+1')
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hofler (45'), Petersen (90')
Hofler (62'), Haberer (66'), Grifo (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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