Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
1 - 6
RB Leipzig

Jovetic (48')
Richter (25'), Ascacibar (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henrichs (20'), Nkunku (64' pen., 67'), Olmo (74'), Haidara (81'), Poulsen (88')
Gvardiol (34'), Tedesco (45'), Nkunku (64'), Haidara (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.35%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.2% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.24%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
20.2%	19.45%	60.35%

Both teams to score 64.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.07%

30.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.69%

52.31%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.9%

10.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.75%

33.24%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 20.2%

RB Leipzig 60.35%

Draw 19.45%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.24% 1-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.55% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.34% Total : 20.2%	1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.45%	1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-3 @ 5.7% 2-3 @ 4.6% 1-4 @ 4.15% 0-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.64% 1-5 @ 1.9% 0-5 @ 1.5% 2-5 @ 1.21% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.62% Total : 60.35%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Hertha Berlin

14.6%

Draw

12.2%

RB Leipzig

73.2%