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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
32.67% | 24.84% | 42.48% |
Both teams to score 57.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.32% | 45.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.99% | 68.01% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% | 26.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.93% | 62.07% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% | 21.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% | 54.59% |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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