DFB-Pokal | Final

May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK

Olympiastadion Berlin

Freiburg
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')

RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
29.38% ( -0)	21.83% ( 0)	48.79% ( 0)

Both teams to score 66.62% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.09% (

32.91% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.38% (

0.01)

54.62% (

-0)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.48% (

22.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.91% (

56.09% (

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98% (

14.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.44% (

0.01)

41.56% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 29.38%

RB Leipzig 48.79%

Draw 21.83%

Freiburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.38%	1-1 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.16% 3-3 @ 2.2% Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.79%