Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.