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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | VfL Bochum | 34 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
74.11% ( 0.32) | 16.59% ( -0.18) | 9.29% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.69% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% ( 0.43) | 42.28% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( 0.43) | 64.69% ( -0.43) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.14% ( 0.19) | 9.85% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.31% ( 0.44) | 32.69% ( -0.44) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.57% ( -0) | 50.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.05% | 84.95% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 74.1% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.59% | 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 9.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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