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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 8, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Augsburg logo

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg

Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Augsburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Augsburg

 Despite their setbacks and dip in form over the last couple of weeks, Leipzig should have enough in them to bounce back against an out-of-form Augsburg side here. The hosts will be expected to cruise to a comfortable victory, but the difficulty of their task depends on the character that can be displayed to bounce back from Thursday's exit from the Europa League, as well as any lingering fitness issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
74.11% (0.32000000000001 0.32) 16.59% (-0.183 -0.18) 9.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.69% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.429 0.43)42.28% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31% (0.427 0.43)64.69% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.14% (0.19 0.19)9.85% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.31% (0.44 0.44)32.69% (-0.439 -0.44)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)50.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.05%84.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 74.1%
    Augsburg 9.29%
    Draw 16.59%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 10.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.09% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.77% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 74.1%
1-1 @ 7.88% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 16.59%
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 9.29%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
90.9%
Draw
3.0%
Augsburg
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
Feb 12, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Augsburg
Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')
Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')
Dec 22, 2020 5.30pm
Augsburg
0-3
RB Leipzig

Iago (8')
Orban (11'), Poulsen (75'), Angelino (82')
Mukiele (73')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-2
RB Leipzig
Angelino (45'), Poulsen (66')
Upamecano (60')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-2
RB Leipzig
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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