MX23RW : Friday, April 26 05:12:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Mainz logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Mainz 05

Both sides will be looking to claim maximum points on Wednesday, with Mainz having an outside chance of qualifying for Europe, while Augsburg will be keen to move further away from the relegation zone. Each of the last 12 Bundesliga meetings between these two sides has seen a victory for one team or the other, but as there is little separate them this time around, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
36.48%25.29%38.23%
Both teams to score 56.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.24%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.89%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44%58.56%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 36.48%
    Mainz 05 38.23%
    Draw 25.28%
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.93%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.03%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Mainz 05

Augsburg
51.3%
Draw
26.6%
Mainz 05
22.1%
154
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
Feb 28, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-1
Mainz 05
Vargas (40'), Hahn (80', 90+1')
Vargas (49'), Strobl (58'), Iago (66'), Sarenren-Bazee (85'), Hahn (90+2')
Onisiwo (64')
St Juste (84')
Jun 14, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 7, 2019 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz 05
Richter (41'), Niederlechner (65' pen.)
Vargas (28'), Jedvaj (88')
Oztunali (15')
Fernandes (44'), Quaison (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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