Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.