Hertha Berlin logo
DFB-Pokal | Last 16
Jan 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Union Berlin logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 3
Union Berlin

Khedira (54' og.), Serdar (90+5')
Serdar (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Voglsammer (11'), Stark (50' og.), Knoche (55')
Oztunali (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
34.59%23.44%41.96%
Both teams to score 63.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47%38.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18%60.82%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23%18.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84%50.16%
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 34.59%
    Union Berlin 41.96%
    Draw 23.44%
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.28%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 7%
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 4.9%
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
51.4%
Draw
25.7%
Union Berlin
23.0%
74