DFB-Pokal | Last 16
Jan 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Hertha Berlin2 - 3Union Berlin
We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Union Berlin
This will be the first ever cup meeting between the two sides, and though Union Berlin may be the team that are in better form, Hertha Berlin have won the last two derbies at the Olympiastadion, which is why we believe they will edge out their local rivals on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
34.59% | 23.44% | 41.96% |
Both teams to score 63.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.47% | 38.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% | 60.82% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% | 22.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% | 55.74% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% | 18.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.84% | 50.16% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin 34.59%
Union Berlin 41.96%
Draw 23.44%
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.4% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 4.9% 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.27% 1-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.52% Total : 41.96% |
How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin
Hertha Berlin
51.4%Draw
25.7%Union Berlin
23.0%74
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 27
Union Berlin
1-1
Hertha Berlin
May 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Hertha Berlin
4-0
Union Berlin
Nov 2, 2019 5.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-15 06:45:06
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1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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