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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
28.32% | 23.51% | 48.17% |
Both teams to score 59.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.27% | 41.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.86% | 64.14% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% | 27.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% | 63.23% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% | 17.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% | 48.05% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.97% 1-0 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 5.49% 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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