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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Dortmund logo

Union Berlin
0 - 3
Dortmund


Baumgartl (35'), Mohwald (76'), Knoche (90+2'), Schafer (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reus (18', 25'), Guerreiro (71')
Brandt (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
28.32%23.51%48.17%
Both teams to score 59.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86%64.14%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32%27.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77%63.23%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48%17.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95%48.05%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 28.32%
    Borussia Dortmund 48.17%
    Draw 23.51%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.97%
1-0 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.32%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 5.49%
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin
24.2%
Draw
19.8%
Borussia Dortmund
56.0%
91