Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 14, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
5 - 1
Freiburg

Meunier (14', 29'), Braut Haaland (45+1', 75'), Dahoud (86')
Brandt (76'), Braut Haaland (88')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Demirovic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
65.8%	18.88%	15.32%

Both teams to score 56.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.89%

37.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69%

59.31%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.47%

10.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.77%

34.23%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89%

37.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11%

73.89%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.8%

Freiburg 15.32%

Draw 18.88%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-2 @ 2.06% 5-0 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.79% Total : 65.8%	1-1 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.88%	1-2 @ 4.32% 0-1 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.32%