/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
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Thomas Meunier
14'
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Thomas Meunier
29'
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Erling Braut Haaland
45'+1'
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Erling Braut Haaland
75'
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Julian Brandt
76'
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Mahmoud Dahoud
86'
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Erling Braut Haaland
88'
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Ermedin Demirovic
61'
Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Freiburg Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 7.37%
4-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-2 @ 2.06%
5-0 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 65.8%
2-2 @ 4.87%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
0-1 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.61%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.32%