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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 23.93% | 21.67% | 54.41% |
| Both teams to score 61.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% | 59.07% |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% | 13.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.21% | 40.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.12% 1-0 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 23.93% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-3 @ 5.1% 2-3 @ 4.05% 1-4 @ 3.2% 0-4 @ 2.54% 2-4 @ 2.02% 1-5 @ 1.28% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.72% Total : 54.41% |