Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
26.07%	23.9%	50.03%

Both teams to score 56.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81%

45.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47%

67.54%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87%

31.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54%

67.46%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87%

18.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91%

49.09%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 26.07%

Borussia Dortmund 50.03%

Draw 23.9%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 6.59% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.07%	1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.03%