Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern

Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lewandowski (9', 77' pen.), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
32.28%	22.02%	45.7%

Both teams to score 67.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.8%

32.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.2%

53.8%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46%

20.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95%

53.05%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.2%

14.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.93%

43.07%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 32.28%

Bayern Munich 45.7%

Draw 22.02%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 3.84% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.28%	1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 3.04% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.02%	1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.69% 3-4 @ 1.12% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.4% Total : 45.7%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund

22.3%

Draw

9.6%

Bayern Munich

68.1%