St Pauli
2 - 1
Dortmund

Amenyido (4'), Witsel (40' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Braut Haaland (58' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between St Pauli and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
31.48%	23.88%	44.63%

Both teams to score 60.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.31%

41.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.91%

64.09%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42%

25.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55%

60.45%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08%

18.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.57%

50.42%

Score Analysis

St Pauli 31.48%

Borussia Dortmund 44.63%

Draw 23.87%

St Pauli	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.48%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.37% Total : 44.63%