2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
3 - 0
St Pauli

Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
46.3%23.73%29.97%
Both teams to score 60%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23%41.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83%64.17%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67%49.33%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42%26.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2%61.8%
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 46.3%
    St Pauli 29.97%
    Draw 23.73%
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 4.26%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli

Holstein Kiel
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
St Pauli
45.5%
11
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!