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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 41.27% | 24.44% | 34.29% |
| Both teams to score 59.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% | 43.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% | 65.76% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% | 21.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% | 53.94% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.74% | 59.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.29% |