Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.