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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Union Berlin logo

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Okugawa (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jaeckel (35'), Ryerson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawUnion Berlin
28.8%26.31%44.89%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51%53.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99%75.01%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61%33.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98%70.02%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13%57.87%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 28.8%
    Union Berlin 44.89%
    Draw 26.31%
Arminia BielefeldDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-1 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 4.77%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.8%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.89%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin

Arminia Bielefeld
31.7%
Draw
31.7%
Union Berlin
36.6%
41