Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.