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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 41.53% ( | 24.18% ( | 34.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( | 42.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( | 64.56% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( | 20.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( | 52.94% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( | 58.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.29% |