Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.