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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 51.26% | 22.38% | 26.36% |
| Both teams to score 61.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% | 37.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.84% | 60.16% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% | 14.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% | 43.44% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% | 27.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% | 62.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 6.04% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.08% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.36% |