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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | St Pauli |
| 49.58% | 23.46% | 26.95% |
| Both teams to score 58.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% | 42.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% | 64.92% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% | 17.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% | 47.63% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% | 29.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% | 64.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.93% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.95% |