Bundesliga
Dec 12, 2025 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Janik Haberer 37' yellowcard
  • Danilho Doekhi 54' yellowcard
  • Oliver Burke 57' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 63' goal
  • Tim Skarke 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard David Raum 50'
  • goal Tidiam Gomis 60'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 72'

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.30pm
RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Frankfurt
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Union Berlin 22.28%
Draw 22.14%
RB Leipzig 55.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.97%
Under 2.5 41.03%
Over 3.5 36.58%
Under 3.5 63.42%
Over 4.5 19.46%
Under 4.5 80.54%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 67.96%
Under 0.5 32.04%
Over 1.5 31.49%
Under 1.5 68.51%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 85.34%
Under 0.5 14.66%
Over 1.5 57.19%
Under 1.5 42.81%

Score analysis

Union Berlin 22.28%
Draw 22.13%
RB Leipzig 55.58%
Union Berlin
2-1 @ 5.84%
1-0 @ 5.35%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.13%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.02%
0-2 @ 8.66%
1-3 @ 6.31%
0-3 @ 5.54%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 3.03%
0-4 @ 2.66%
2-4 @ 1.72%
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.58%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Josip Juranovic 32' yellowcard
  • Diogo Leite 49' yellowcard
  • Laszlo Benes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 64'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Amadou Haidara 53' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 26'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 61'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 84'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Lois Openda 11' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 20' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 48' goal
  • yellowcard Benedict Hollerbach 22'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 47'
  • redcard Christopher Trimmel 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Alex Kral 27' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 64' redcard
  • Robin Gosens 80' yellowcard
  • Janik Haberer 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 26'
  • goal Xavi Simons 51'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 85'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benjamin Henrichs 24' goal
  • goal Janik Haberer 61'
  • goal Robin Knoche 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 32' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 38' goal
  • Frederik Ronnow 49' yellowcard
  • Kevin Behrens 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 30'
  • goal Willi Orban 83'