Bundesliga

Dec 12, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Union Berlin Union Berlin
3-1
RB Leipzig

Burke (57'), Ansah (63'), Skarke (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomis (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: FC Koln vs. Union Berlin
Saturday, December 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: RB Leipzig vs. B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
22.28%	22.14%	55.58%

Both teams to score 57.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.97%

41.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.58%

63.42%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96%

32.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49%

68.51%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.34%

14.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.19%

42.81%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 22.28%

RB Leipzig 55.58%

Draw 22.13%

Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.84% 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.28%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 6.31% 0-3 @ 5.54% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 3.03% 0-4 @ 2.66% 2-4 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.16% 0-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.58%