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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 28.99% | 24.15% | 46.86% |
| Both teams to score 57.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% | 44.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.25% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% | 19.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% | 50.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.99% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-1 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.87% |